Compare the likelihood of obtaining particular outcomes in a simple chance experiment, eg for a collection of 7 red, 13 blue and 10 yellow marbles, name blue as being the colour most likely to be drawn out and recognise that it is impossible to draw out a

1. Action Zone 1 - select least safe option
2. Sarah Scratches 5 - select most probable
3. Sarah Scratches 4 - select most probable
4. Sarah Scratches 3 - select most probable
5. Sarah Scratches 2 - select most probable
6. Sarah Scratches 1 - select most probable
7. Action Zone 2 - select safest option